Politics or Poppycock

A Look From the Left At Politics, Politicians, Policies and Issues of National Concern

Archive for January 28th, 2009

Aides Say Obama’s Afghan Aims Elevate War

Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

NYTimes.com

    Published: January 27, 2009

    WASHINGTON — President Obama intends to adopt a tougher line toward Hamid Karzai, the Afghan president, as part of a new American approach to Afghanistan that will put more emphasis on waging war than on development, senior administration officials said Tuesday.

    afghan190.jpg

    Danfung Dennis for The New York Times

    American soldiers conducted an operation along Afghanistan’s border with Pakistan last month. The Obama administration says it plans to send more troops to fight in Afghanistan this year.

    28policy2-190.jpg

    Tyler Hicks/The New York Times

    President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan can expect a tougher line from the Obama administration, American officials said.

    Mr. Karzai is now seen as a potential impediment to American goals in Afghanistan, the officials said, because corruption has become rampant in his government, contributing to a flourishing drug trade and the resurgence of the Taliban.

    Among those pressing for Mr. Karzai to do more, the officials said, are Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Richard C. Holbrooke, Mr. Obama’s special envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan.

    The officials portrayed the approach as a departure from that of President Bush, who held video conferences with Mr. Karzai every two weeks and sought to emphasize the American role in rebuilding Afghanistan and its civil institutions.

    They said that the Obama administration would work with provincial leaders as an alternative to the central government, and that it would leave economic development and nation-building increasingly to European allies, so that American forces could focus on the fight against insurgents.

    “If we set ourselves the objective of creating some sort of Central Asian Valhalla over there, we will lose,” Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who served under Mr. Bush and is staying on under Mr. Obama, told Congress on Tuesday. He said there was not enough “time, patience or money” to pursue overly ambitious goals in Afghanistan, and he called the war there as “our greatest military challenge.”

    Mr. Gates said last week that previous American goals for Afghanistan had been “too broad and too far into the future,” language that differed from Mr. Bush’s policies.

    NATO has not met its pledges for combat troops, transport helicopters, military trainers and other support personnel in Afghanistan, and Mr. Gates has openly criticized the United States’ NATO allies for not fulfilling their promises.

    Mr. Holbrooke is preparing to travel to the region, and administration officials said he would ask more of Mr. Karzai, particularly on fighting corruption, aides said, as part of what they described as a “more for more” approach.

    Mr. Karzai is facing re-election this year, and it is not clear whether Mr. Obama and his aides intend to support his candidacy. The administration will be watching, aides said, to see if Mr. Karzai responds to demands from the United States and its NATO allies that he arrest associates, including his half-brother, whom Western officials have accused of smuggling drugs in Kandahar.

    Before taking office as vice president last week, Mr. Biden traveled to Afghanistan in his role as the departing chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. He met with Mr. Karzai and warned him that the Obama administration would expect more of him than Mr. Bush did, administration officials said. He told Mr. Karzai that Mr. Obama would be discontinuing the video calls that Mr. Karzai enjoyed with Mr. Bush, said a senior official, who added that Mr. Obama expected Mr. Karzai to do more to crack down on corruption.

    After his return from Afghanistan, Mr. Biden, who has had a contentious relationship with Mr. Karzai, described the situation there as “a real mess.”

    An election is scheduled to be held no later than the fall, under Afghanistan’s Constitution. Zalmay Khalilzad, an Afghan-American who is a former United States ambassador to the United Nations and is viewed as a possible challenger to Mr. Karzai, warned that the Obama administration must tread carefully as it recalibrated its Afghanistan policy.

    “If it looks like we’re abandoning the central government and focusing just on the local areas, we will run afoul of Afghan politics,” Mr. Khalilzad said. “Some will regard it as an effort to break up the Afghan state, which would be regarded as hostile policy.”

    Mr. Obama is preparing to increase the number of American troops in Afghanistan over the next two years, perhaps to more than 60,000 from about 34,000 now. But Mr. Gates indicated Tuesday that the administration would move slowly, at least for now. He outlined plans for an increase of about 12,000 troops by midsummer but cautioned that any decision on more troops beyond that might have to wait until late 2009, given the need for barracks and other infrastructure.

    With the forces of the Taliban and Al Qaeda mounting more aggressive operations in eastern and southern Afghanistan, administration officials said they saw little option but to focus on the military campaign. They said Europeans would be asked to pick up more of the work on reconstruction, police training and cooperation with the Afghan government. They also said much of the international effort might shift to helping local governments and institutions, and away from the government in Kabul.

    “It’s not about dumping reconstruction at all,” said a senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the diplomatic delicacy of the subject. “What we’re trying to do is to focus on the Al Qaeda problem. That has to be our first priority.”

    Mr. Gates said Tuesday that under the redefined Afghan strategy, it would be vital for NATO allies to “provide more civilian support.” In particular, he said, the allies should be more responsible for building civil society institutions in Afghanistan, a task that had been falling to American forces. He also demanded that allies “step up to the plate” and defray costs of expanding the Afghan Army, an emerging power center, whose leaders could emerge as rivals to Mr. Karzai.

    Mr. Gates added that the United States should focus on limited goals. “My own personal view is that our primary goal is to prevent Afghanistan from being used as a base for terrorists and extremists to attack the United States and our allies, and whatever else we need to do flows from that objective,” he said.

    A version of this article appeared in print on January 28, 2009, on page A1 of the New York edition.

    Posted in Afghanistan | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

    Recovery and Reinvestment 101

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    Center for American Progress

    Recovery and Reinvestment 101


    stimulus101-onpage.jpg

    SOURCE: AP/J. Scott Applewhite

    The Capitol is illuminated as Congress works late on an economic stimulus package.

    January 28, 2009

    Download this brief (pdf)

    1. What caused the current recession?

    2. Is recession only a problem in the United States?

    3. What is the most important issue in the current recession?

    4. Is this recession different from other recent recessions?

    5. Why does a stimulus and recovery plan help?

    
6. What are the criteria for an effective stimulus?

    7. What is the difference between recovery legislation and policies intended to promote long-term economic growth?

    8. Are there policies that help short-term recovery and promote long-term economic growth?

    9. What specific recovery and growth policies does CAP recommend?

    10. What is the Federal Reserve’s role and why isn’t it doing more?

    11. Aren’t stimulus plans based upon Keynesian theory—a theory that has been repeatedly disproved in practice?

    12. Aren’t all-time record deficits irresponsible and damaging to the economy?

    13. Aren’t tax changes more effective at growing the economy if they are permanent?

    14. Why does it cost $825 billion to create 3 million jobs—more than $275,000 per job?

    What caused the current recession?

    The economy was already performing badly by many measures before the recession started in December 2007, but the poor economic performance was partially camouflaged by rising asset values—especially home values. Those rising asset values made many people and businesses feel well off and comfortable going into debt. Rising asset values, consumer overconfidence, and borrowing fueled economic activity and gave the economy a veneer of well-being, even though real family income remained lower than it had been before the recession of 2001.

    The immediate cause of the current recession was the collapse of the housing bubble, which took away the camouflage that was hiding an already troubled economy. It also revealed the consequences of the financial sector’s irresponsible behavior, as well as failures by that sector’s government regulators.

    Lenders had made risky loans with escalating interest rates, counting on refinancing to save the day when the inevitable defaults loomed. The scheme was essentially to capture the increased value from rising home prices to cover the lagging payments through refinancing. But this no longer worked once housing values stopped rising. The result has been record levels of mortgage defaults and foreclosures.

    Mortgage brokers had packaged many of these risky loans into securities and sold them to a variety of investors. Those investors found that mortgage-backed securities lost their value as the loans went sour. This alone would have been a blow to the financial sector. But the damage has been much greater than simply the decline in value of mortgage-backed securities.

    The financial services industry had created a range of products to essentially insure the holders of mortgages and mortgage-backed securities against losses. Yet those offering protection did not actually have the wherewithal to cover anywhere near the losses they were protecting against. Thus, when the losses started to emerge, companies such as AIG who offered this “insurance” were also drawn into the crisis.

    Many institutions had financed much of this activity—their mortgage lending, security buying, and insurance—by themselves borrowing, which even further exacerbated the situation by broadening the problem to include their lenders as well.

    The financial system is now plagued by doubt regarding the value of many of its assets in addition to the actual recognized losses. Because such a wide range of mortgage loans were sliced into multiple securities, it has been nearly impossible for financial institutions to determine how vulnerable any particular security is to the fall in housing prices, which has cast doubt over the value of all mortgage-related securities.

    Doubt has now spread beyond mortgage-related securities. The problem is that many of these securities had been highly rated by financial rating services. When it became clear that the securities weren’t nearly as secure as their ratings had indicated, the rating services lost their credibility, which has raised suspicion about all rated securities, not just those connected to mortgages. Virtually all financial institutions are now suspect in the eyes of investors, shareholders, and lenders. This makes it very hard for them to raise capital and has made them very reluctant to take on new risk in the form of loans or investments as they try to regain trust and protect themselves from insolvency.

    Thus, a problem that started in the housing sector has eviscerated much of the financial sector. That, in turn, created dire consequences for the rest of the economy as the financial sector’s pull back put the brakes on the entire economy and made businesses unable to raise capital or obtain many types of even the most routine loans used in their daily operations.

    The even worse news is that the crisis in the financial sector has only just begun to affect the rest of the economy. Unemployment has been rising for over a year, but job losses began accelerating in September 2008 as the financial crisis worsened. Job losses grew initially out of sharp declines in construction and manufacturing jobs, then expanded to layoffs in the financial industry, and most recently, economy-wide cuts as businesses and consumers became unable to access the funds necessary to keep spending. On top of this, budget woes at the state and local level caused by the fall-off in property and income taxes, as well as a greater need for public services, are now threatening hundreds of thousands of government jobs nationwide.

    Is recession only a problem in the United States? Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in *Economy | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

    Employers cut 14,100 more jobs

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    Labor hits keep on coming as several large companies push workforce reductions.

    By Ben Rooney and Kenneth Musante, CNNMoney.com staff writers

    Last Updated: January 28, 2009

    newsromans012709cnnmoney216x164.jpg

    How will the economic stimulus package help your job situation?

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — The job market took another savage beating Wednesday after several companies announced cost cutting plans that involved thousands of job cuts.

    Aircraft maker and defense contractor Boeing Co. was one of the largest casualties of the day, saying it would cut an additional 5,500 jobs this year, bringing its total cuts to 10,000 as the company struggles with dwindling demand for new aircraft.

    Earlier this month, Boeing (BA, Fortune 500) announced plans to shed 4,500 jobs in its Commercial Airplanes division. But the additional job cuts will be across various other parts of the company.

    Coffee chain Starbucks Corp. (SBUX, Fortune 500) also said it would be cutting up to 6,700 jobs, mostly due to store closings and a slower rate of store openings. Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in *Economy | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

    House passes $819 billion stimulus bill

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    Obama lobbied for the bill aggressively, but it garnered no Republican support. Senate likely to take up its version next week.

    By David Goldman, CNNMoney.com staff writer

    Last Updated: January 28, 2009

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — The House passed an $819 billion economic stimulus package Wednesday on a party-line vote, despite President Obama’s efforts to achieve bipartisan support for the bill.

    The final vote was 244 to 188. No Republicans voted for the bill, while just 12 Democrats voted against it.

    The Senate is likely to take up the bill next week.

    In floor debate, House Democrats offered near-unanimous support for the bill, touting the package’s ability to quickly create jobs and jumpstart economic growth.

    “One week and one day ago, our new President delivered a great inaugural address … which I believe is a great blueprint for the future,” said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif. “With swift and bold action today, we are doing just that — with this vote today, we are taking America in a new direction.” Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in *Economy | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

    Why House Republicans Aren’t Worth Listening To

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    Posted by Christopher Hayes, The Nation at 4:28 PM on January 27, 2009.

    Whenever John Boehner shows up on your TV, change the channel.

    blogimage-boehnerjohnnr1-thumbs-600x454-thumbs-200x1511.jpg

    This has, all things considered, been a pretty great week for the republic: executive orders increasing government transparency, banning torture, and beginning the process of closing Guantanamo. Obama’s also given a nuanced, thoughtful and largely pitch-perfect interview to Al Arabiya as his first public interview, reaching out to the Muslim world in a way, frankly, only he probably could. So, overall, thumbs up, Mr. President!

    But: today’s been frustrating. Earlier in the week we got word that a provision to allow bankruptcy judges to alter mortgage terms will not be included in the stimulus, partly at the White House’s behest. Now, it’s unclear whether there was ever much momentum inside the House and Senate leadership to put this in the bill, but the fact that it’s not going in is nearly criminal. Almost every single economist and expert I’ve talked to thinks this is an absolutely necessary step in foreclosure mitigation. No less a flaming Marxist than Richard Berner. It’s also very easy to implement, since bankruptcy judges already have the power to alter mortgage terms for non-primary residences. On the policy merits, it’s a no brainer. And on top of that, Senate Democrats, apparently in direct negotiations with Citigroup have gotten Citigroup to agree not to oppose the provision (so kind of them!), I don’t even see where the political opposition is coming from. Get this done, now.

    Then there’s the word that at Obama’s urging, House Democrats are going to cut birth control funding from the stimulus. Yglesias notes, wisely that this seems to be concession in exchange for nothing. It’s not like more Republicans are now going to vote for the bill that weren’t before. Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in Politicians | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    Why House Republicans Aren’t Worth Listening To
    Posted by Christopher Hayes, The Nation at 4:28 PM on January 27, 2009.

    Whenever John Boehner shows up on your TV, change the channel.
    Post Tools
    icn-mail1.gif EMAIL
    icn-print1.gif PRINT
    icn-talk1.gif 35 COMMENTS

    blogimage-boehnerjohnnr1-thumbs-600x454-thumbs-200x151.jpg
    Share and save this post:
digg1.gifdelicious1.gifreddit1.giffark1.gifyahoo1.gifnewsvine1.giffacebook1.gifnewstrust1.gif
    Got a tip for a post?:
Email us | Anonymous form
    rss-icon22.gifPEEK RSS Feed
    rss-icon23.gifMain AlterNet RSS Feed
    Get PEEK in your
    mailbox!

     
    Also in PEEK
    Against Obama’s Stimulus Because it Doesn’t Go Far EnoughSteve Benen Washington Monthly
    How a Shorter Workweek Could Save Our EconomyDean Baker The Guardian
    A Look at Bush’s Presidency Through a Camera LensMelissa McEwan Shakesville

    This has, all things considered, been a pretty great week for the republic: executive orders increasing government transparency, banning torture, and beginning the process of closing Guantanamo. Obama’s also given a nuanced, thoughtful and largely pitch-perfect interview to Al Arabiya as his first public interview, reaching out to the Muslim world in a way, frankly, only he probably could. So, overall, thumbs up, Mr. President!
    But: today’s been frustrating. Earlier in the week we got word that a provision to allow bankruptcy judges to alter mortgage terms will not be included in the stimulus, partly at the White House’s behest. Now, it’s unclear whether there was ever much momentum inside the House and Senate leadership to put this in the bill, but the fact that it’s not going in is nearly criminal. Almost every single economist and expert I’ve talked to thinks this is an absolutely necessary step in foreclosure mitigation. No less a flaming Marxist than Richard Berner. It’s also very easy to implement, since bankruptcy judges already have the power to alter mortgage terms for non-primary residences. On the policy merits, it’s a no brainer. And on top of that, Senate Democrats, apparently in direct negotiations with Citigroup have gotten Citigroup to agree not to oppose the provision (so kind of them!), I don’t even see where the political opposition is coming from. Get this done, now.
    Then there’s the word that at Obama’s urging, House Democrats are going to cut birth control funding from the stimulus. Yglesias notes, wisely that this seems to be concession in exchange for nothing. It’s not like more Republicans are now going to vote for the bill that weren’t before.

    But more crucially, I think it’s really important to put the House Republican caucus in context. After two successive bloodbaths, the house GOP Caucus is pared down pretty far. Those left standing more or less represent fairly hard core, deep red conservative districts. Rep. Jeb Hensnarling is not going to vote for the stimulus because he just doesn’t believe in large government spending to stimulate the economy. That’s fine: I imagine many of his constituents feel the same way. So kudos to him for representing his district. But there’s no reason, then to take what Hensnarling or Cantor or Boehner say about the stimulus particularly seriously. Ideologically they are disposed to oppose it, and politically they can only win if Obama fails. Believe me, if the situation were reversed, if the Democrats were down to a caucus dominated by Barbara Lee’s and Dennis Kucinich’s, no one in the GOP nor the MSM would much care about their complaints that a Republican-sponsored bill cut food stamps, or LIHEAP, or otherwise screwed poor people.
    And it’s not like conservative views won’t be represented in the final legislation. It’s in the nature of the Senate to give outsize representation to the minority. There are plenty of Republican senators who actually represent states where they will face accountability to the voters.
    So, note to the White House: whenever John Boehner shows up on your TV, change the channel.

    85x10-digg-link16.gif
    Tagged as: house, gop, obama, house republicans
    http://www.alternet.org/blogs/peek/123156/

    Posted in Issues | Leave a Comment »

    For Decades, Right-Wingers Have Pushed Paranoia and Xenophobic Politics and Called It ‘Moral Clarity’

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

    By Sara Robinson, Campaign for America’s Future. Posted January 28, 2009.

    Conservatives live in a world of seething aggression that most progressives can’t even fathom.

    As he was prepared to slink off into the history books as arguably the worst president in American history, I actually sat down and watched George W. Bush speak.

    There was one passage, in particular, that rang in my ears long after his final goodbye. It probably went over most Americans’ heads — but it went right to the heart of Our Problem With George:

    As we address these challenges — and others we cannot foresee tonight — America must maintain our moral clarity. I have often spoken to you about good and evil. This has made some uncomfortable. But good and evil are present in this world, and between the two there can be no compromise. Murdering the innocent to advance an ideology is wrong every time, everywhere. Freeing people from oppression and despair is eternally right. This nation must continue to speak out for justice and truth. We must always be willing to act in their defense and to advance the cause of peace.

    That phrase “moral clarity” — conservatives use it a lot. And it always sounds absurd to progressive ears, coming as it does from members of an administration that shredded the Constitution, deprived people of due process, committed horrific acts of torture and lied the country into the worst military debacle in its history. Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in Foreign Policy | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Contact Your State District Attorneys To Prosecute Bush and Cheney

    Posted by James O'Rourke on January 28, 2009

            theteam@peaceteam.net

    The Best Way To Light A Fire For Federal Prosecutions of Bush And Cheney Is To Get Collateral State Actions Going

    After weeks and weeks of unbelievable work, we have completed compiling a database of the current contact information for every state district attorney, for EVERY county in the country.  And we have put it all together into an easy one click lookup function to help organize contacting your nearest state prosecutor, to call on THEM to step up to the plate, to stand up for justice and accountability, by prosecuting George Bush and Dick Cheney for their crimes.

    In particular, renowned former prosecutor Vincent Bugliosi has laid out a compelling case for charging both Bush and Cheney with the premediated murder of American service men and women, for starting a war with Iraq on patently false pretenses.  By using this new lookup page you can instantly get the mailing address, phone, fax, and in many cases also the email of your local prosecutor.  This action is SO critical we have dedicated our entire main site homepage to it.

    Local Prosecutor Lookup:  http://www.peaceteam.net

    IMPORTANT NOTE:  We are not asking anyone to file a “formal” criminal complaint yourself.  Common sense tells us that a state prosecutor will only act, in the exercise of their OWN discretion, if they believe there is a non-frivolous case to bring.  But by speaking out, we can let them know there is community support for them to do so. Read the rest of this entry »

    Posted in Bush Administration, Civic Responsibilities | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »